Ryan Preece is on the outside looking in as he fights for his playoff life when he competes in Saturday’s Quaker State 400 held at EchoPark Speedway in Atlanta. With just nine races left before the NASCAR Cup Series postseason begins, Preece will need to make up 20 points to catch Alex Bowman for the final playoff spot. Preece, who has two wins on the Xfinity Series circuit, has yet to experience the checkered flag at the Cup Series level. In 202 races over his seven-year Cup career, he has 22 top-10 finishes, including seven this year.
The 2025 Quaker State 400 odds list Preece at +5000, while Bowman is priced at +2500. Ryan Blaney enters as the +750 favorite in the NASCAR at Atlanta odds, followed by Joey Logano (+1000) and Austin Cindric (+1000), Chase Elliott (+1300) and Kyle Busch (+1500) and William Byron (+1500). Saturday’s race is set to begin at 7 p.m. ET. Before entering any 2025 Quaker State 400 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began its 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott to win for a +300 payout at the Clash at Bowman Gray and was also high on Byron as a +2000 longshot at Daytona. Then it predicted Kyle Larson’s win in Miami for a +350 payout, Christopher Bell’s +600 triumph in the NASCAR All-Star Race, Denny Hamlin’s +650 victory in Michigan and Shane van Gisbergen’s +330 victory in Mexico. In 2024, it nailed Larson to win in Las Vegas for a 21-5 sports betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 23 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks could have seen huge returns. New users also have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest Bet365 promo code, Caesars Sportsbook promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Now, the model simulated the 2025 Quaker State 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Atlanta leaderboard.
Top 2025 Quaker State 400 predictions
For Saturday’s 2025 Quaker State 400, the model is high on Ross Chastain, even though he’s a +2100 longshot in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta odds from FanDuel. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday and first-time users can also get up to $150 in bonus bets if their first $5 bet wins with this FanDuel promo code.
It’s been a month since Ross Chastain found himself in the winner’s circle at the Coca-Cola 600 in Charlotte, but the model is high on him for Saturday’s 2025 Quaker State 400. Despite being a +2100 longshot in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta odds from FanDuel, the model sees a lot of value in the veteran driver. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday and first-time users can also get up to $150 in bonus bets if their first $5 bet wins with this FanDuel promo code.
Chastain has had a solid season so far, registering eight top-10 finishes. Besides his win at Charlotte, he took second at the Wurth 400 at Texas Motor Speedway. He has also fared well in the past at Atlanta Motor Speedway, taking second there twice in 2022. He was seventh at the 2024 Ambetter Health 400, and eighth earlier this year at the 2025 Ambetter Health 400, where he led for 25 laps despite starting 33rd.
The model has also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Chase Elliott finishes top five for a +250 payout. He’s a potentially a strong value pick for your Atlanta NASCAR prop bets and you can potentially add even more value with the latest BetMGM promo code.
Elliott is already in his 11th season in the NASCAR Cup Series and has piled up 19 victories while also winning a championship in 2020, and he won’t turn 30 until November. However, he’s still searching for his first victory of the season to all but guarantee his inclusion in the 2025 NASCAR Playoffs. Elliott is currently fifth in the NASCAR standings and has a 160-point cushion to race his way in on points, but he has first-hand experience being left out of the postseason because he couldn’t manage a victory in 2023. He’s gone top-five in his last two races and has eight top-10 finishes in 13 starts at EchoPark Speedway, including a win in the 2022 Quaker State 400. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with Atlanta NASCAR odds of 17-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2025 Quaker State 400, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2025 NASCAR at Atlanta odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full NASCAR Atlanta projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 23 winners, and find out.
2025 NASCAR Atlanta odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Atlanta picks at SportsLine
(odds subject to change)
Ryan Blaney +850
Joey Logano +950
Austin Cindric +1000
Kyle Busch +1300
William Byron +1500
Brad Keselowski +1500
Chase Elliott +1500
Kyle Larson +1700
Christopher Bell +1700
Denny Hamlin +2100
Carson Hocevar +2100
Chris Buescher +2100
Ross Chastain +2100
Josh Berry +2100
Bubba Wallace +2400
Alex Bowman +2500
Tyler Reddick +2700
Daniel Suarez +2700
Michael McDowell +2900
Chase Briscoe +3100
Todd Gilliland +4000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +4000
Ty Gibbs +4000
Ryan Preece +5000
Connor Zilisch +5000
Noah Gragson +5000
Erik Jones +5000
AJ Allmendinger +5000
Austin Dillon +5000
Corey Lajoie +6000
John Hunter Nemechek +6000
Justin Haley +6000
Riley Herbst +7500
Zane Smith +7500
Cole Custer +7500
Ty Dillon +10000
Shane van Gisbergen +11000
Codey Ware +21000
BJ McLeod +50000
David Starr +50000
