The Chicago Street Race has quickly become one of the most thrilling visual spectacles in the NASCAR Cup Series, and the 2025 Grant Park 165 on Sunday will also serve as the second round of the first-ever NASCAR In-Season Challenge. Shane van Gisbergen won the first Cup race on the Chicago Street Course in 2023. Now, the road-racing specialist, who claimed pole position in qualifying on Saturday, is the +150 favorite in the 2025 Grant Park 165 odds after winning three weeks ago in Mexico City. Then in 2024, it was Alex Bowman who won the Grant Park 165 and he’s listed at +2500 in the NASCAR at Chicago odds.
The green flag drops at 2 p.m. ET and the race is scheduled for 75 laps around the 12-turn, 2.2-mile circuit winding through the streets of Chicago. Before entering any 2025 Grant Park 165 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR Chicago Street Race predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began its 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott to win for a +300 payout at the Clash at Bowman Gray and was also high on Byron as a +2000 longshot at Daytona. Then it predicted Kyle Larson’s win in Miami for a +350 payout, Christopher Bell’s +600 triumph in the NASCAR All-Star Race, Denny Hamlin’s +650 victory in Michigan, Shane van Gisbergen’s +330 victory in Mexico and Elliott’s win in Atlanta for a +1500 return. In 2024, it nailed Larson to win in Las Vegas for a 21-5 sports betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 24 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks could have seen huge returns. New users also have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest Bet365 promo code, BetMGM promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Now, the model simulated the 2025 Grant Park 165 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Chicago leaderboard.
Top 2025 Grant Park 165 predictions
For Sunday’s 2025 Chicago Street Race, the model is high on Chris Buescher, even though he’s a +2000 longshot in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Chicago odds from FanDuel. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday and first-time users can also get up to $150 in bonus bets if their first $5 bet wins with this FanDuel promo code.
After a breakout three-win season in 2023, Buescher missed the NASCAR playoffs entirely last season, but did manage to collect his sixth career victory in the NASCAR Cup Series during the postseason. He’s yet to win in 2025, but he’s in a solid position on points, as he’s sitting ninth in the NASCAR standings entering the week and has a 52-point lead over first man out Ryan Preece. However, with that bubble shrinking in each of the last three weeks, he won’t want to leave his playoff fate to chance.
Buescher has 17 career top-10 finishes in 39 starts on street courses and road courses in the NASCAR Cup Series, including a win at Watkins Glen last season. He also finished 10th in the inaugural Chicago Street Race and was top 10 in both of the road races that have taken place so far this season.
The model has also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: AJ Allmendinger finishes top 10 for a +120 payout. He’s a potentially a strong value pick for your Chicago NASCAR prop bets.
The 43-year-old is facing a pretty significant points deficit with eight races to go in the regular season, as he’s 59 points behind current bubble boy Bubba Wallace. However, he’s an established road racer and the Chicago Street Race is a huge opportunity to make up ground. All three of Allmendinger’s NASCAR Cup Series victories have come on road courses and he’s also had nine of his 21 career top-fives and 22 of his 84 career top-10s in road races. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 NASCAR Chicago Street Race picks
The model is also targeting two other drivers with Chicago NASCAR odds of 22-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2025 Grant Park 165, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2025 NASCAR at Chicago odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full NASCAR Chicago Street Race projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 24 winners, and find out.
2025 NASCAR Chicago odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Chicago picks at SportsLine
(odds subject to change)
Shane Van Gisbergen +150
Tyler Reddick +750
Michael McDowell +850
Christopher Bell +1000
Ty Gibbs +1100
Kyle Larson +1500
Chase Elliott +2000
Chris Buescher +2000
William Byron +2000
Chase Briscoe +2200
Alex Bowman +2500
AJ Allmendinger +2500
Kyle Busch +3000
Carson Hocevar +3000
Ross Chastain +5000
Daniel Suarez +5000
Joey Logano +6500
Will Brown +7000
Ryan Blaney +7000
Ryan Preece +8000
Austin Cindric +10000
Todd Gilliland +13000
Brad Keselowski +15000
Denny Hamlin +15000
Bubba Wallace +20000
Austin Dillon +25000
Zane Smith +25000
John Hunter Nemechek +25000
Justin Haley +30000
Noah Gragson +35000
Erik Jones +35000
Josh Berry +35000
Josh Bilicki +50000
Riley Herbst +50000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +50000
Katherine Legge +50000
Cody Ware +50000
Austin Hill +50000
Ty Dillon +50000
Cole Custer +50000
