LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 08: Brunno Ferreira of Brazil awaits the start of the round in a … More
The UFC 318 pay-per-view fight card is on the horizon. The event features a trilogy fight in the main event slot. In that contest, Max Holloway faces Dustin Poirier for the third time. Adding intrigue to the matchup, Holloway’s BMF title is on the line. The scrap also marks Poirier’s last bout, as the former interim UFC lightweight champ plans to retire after UFC 318. Below, we look at the betting odds, line movement, predictions, and picks for the five-fight early prelim contests on UFC 318.
UFC 318 takes place on Saturday, July 19, from Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana. The pay-per-view card streams on ESPN+ following prelims on ESPN. The UFC 318 early prelims stream on ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass. There are 14 fights booked for UFC 318.
UFC 318 Early Prelims Fight Card: Holloway Vs. Poirier 3
Adam Fugitt vs. Islam Dulatov – Welterweight
Jimmy Crute vs. Marcin Prachnio – Light Heavyweight
Ryan Spann vs. Lukasz Brzeski – Heavyweight
Brunno Ferreira vs. Jackson McVey – Middleweight
Carli Judice vs. Nicolle Caliari – Women’s Flyweight
UFC 318 Fight Card: Early Prelims Odds And Predictions – Adam Fugitt Vs. Islam Dulatov
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – OCTOBER 08: Islam Dulatov of Russia prepares to face Vanilto Antunes of Brazil … More
At the top of the UFC 318 early prelims is a welterweight matchup between Adam Fugitt (10-4) and Islam Dulatov (11-1). This matchup was initially booked for February, but both men withdrew from the card because of injury.
Fugitt is coming off a June 2024 split decision win over Josh Quinlan. He is 2-2 with the UFC. Dulatov last competed in October 2024, picking up a knockout win to earn a UFC contract on a Dana White’s Contender Series fight card. Dulatov has not lost since his professional MMA debut in September 2019. All his wins have come by stoppage (seven knockouts, four submissions). In his winning efforts, Dulatov has 10 first-round stoppages and one second-round finish.
Fugitt opened as a +285 underdog to the -350 Dulatov. Today, Dulatov is a -560 favorite over the +410 Fugitt.
This matchup seems booked to showcase Dulatov. The betting pick is Dulatov to win via knockout.
UFC 318 Fight Card: Early Prelims Odds And Predictions – Jimmy Crute Vs. Marcin Prachnio
SYDNEY, AUSTRALIA – FEBRUARY 09: Jimmy Crute of Australia prepares to face Rodolfo Bellato of Brazil … More
Jimmy Crute (12-4-2) faces Marcin Prachnio (17-8) in a light heavyweight matchup.
The 29-year-old Crute ended a nearly two year-long break from the Octagon in February when he fought Rodolfo Bellato to a draw in a fun fight at UFC 312. The draw left Crute winless in his past five outings (0-3-2) dating back to April 2021.
The 36-year-old Prachnio has alternated wins and losses in his past six UFC fights. He is coming off a submission loss to Modestas Bukauskas at UFC 304 in July 2024.
This matchup was initially booked for Crute’s return fight in February, but Prachnio withdrew from the matchup.
Crute opened as a -300 favorite over the +250 Prachnio. Today, Crute is listed at -285, while Prachnio checks in at +245.
The pick is Crute to win via decision.
UFC 318 Fight Card: Early Prelims Odds And Predictions – Ryan Spann Vs. Lukasz Brzeski
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 15: Ryan Spann prepares to face Waldo Cortes-Acosta of the Dominican … More
A heavyweight bout between two struggling fighters sits in the middle of the UFC 318 early prelims. In that battle, Ryan Spann (22-11) faces Lukasz Brzeski (9-6-1).
Spann moved to heavyweight earlier this year, losing to Waldo Cortes-Acosta in that scrap. The loss moved Spann’s record in his past five fights to 1-4. Brzeski has a career UFC record of 1-5. His only UFC win was a 2024 decision over Valter Walker. He is coming off a UFC 310 knockout loss to Kennedy Nzechukwu.
Spann opened as the -286 favorite over the +246 Brzeski. Today, Spann is listed at -210, while Brzeski comes in at +180.
The pick is for Spann to win via knockout.
UFC 318 Fight Card: Early Prelims Odds And Predictions – Brunno Ferreira Vs. Jackson McVey
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – MARCH 08: Brunno Ferreira of Brazil celebrates after his win via submission in a … More
The second fight on the UFC 318 card is a middleweight matchup between Brunno Ferreira and Jackson McVey that came together on short notice.
Ferreira (13-2-0) signed with the UFC in 2022 following a win on the Dana White’s Contender Series. He made his UFC debut in January 2023, knocking out Gregory Rodrigues at UFC 283. Ferreira is now 4-2 with the UFC. He is coming off a submission win over Arman Petrosyan in March of this year.
McVey is 6-0 as a pro with six first-round finishes. He has three knockouts and three submission wins. McVey’s most recent outing was a June 13 knockout win over Mataeo Garner under the LFA banner.
The opening odds found Ferreira as the -350 favorite over the +285 McVey. The line has shifted. Today, Ferreira is -725 over the +525 McVey.
The pick is Ferreira to win via knockout, but the odds might make a wager on McVey to pull off the upset worth thinking about, even if the outcome is unlikely.
UFC 318 Fight Card: Early Prelims Odds And Predictions – Carli Judice Vs. Nicolle Caliari
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – JANUARY 11: (L-R) Nicolle Caliari of Brazil punches Ernesta Kareckaite of … More
Opening the UFC 318 early prelims is a women’s flyweight matchup between Carli Judice (4-2) and Nicolle Caliari (8-3).
Judice is 1-1 in the UFC, coming off a “Performance of the Night” bonus-winning knockout of Yuneisy Duben. Caliari is 0-1 with the UFC. She dropped her promotional debut, losing to Ernesta Kareckaite via split decision.
Judice opened as the -225 favorite over the +190 Caliari. Today, Judice is listed at -280, while Caliari comes in at +240.
The betting pick is Caliari to win via decision.
UFC 318 Pay-Per-View Card: Holloway Vs. Poirier 3
Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier – Lightweight – For Holloway’s BMF title
Paulo Costa vs. Roman Kopylov – Middleweight
Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez – Welterweight
Dan Ige vs. Patricio “Pitbull” Freire – Featherweight
Michael Johnson vs. Daniel Zellhuber – Lightweight
UFC 318 Preliminary Fight Card: Holloway Vs. Poirier 3
Kyler Phillips vs. Vinicius Oliveira – Bantamweight
Marvin Vettori vs. Brendan Allen – Middleweight
Francisco Prado vs. Nikolay Veretennikov – Welterweight
Ateba Gautier vs. Robert Valentin – Middleweight
We will have more on UFC 318 as fight night approaches, including odds, picks and predictions for the prelims and main card. Also, look for UFC 318 results and reactions on fight night.
