Understanding the history at a track and how certain drivers have performed at a specific venue is an integral part of building a NASCAR strategy on betting sites, and it may be more important at Pocono Raceway than anywhere else. The 2025 Great American Getaway 400 takes place on Sunday from Pocono Raceway and the famous “The Tricky Triangle,” which runs as a three-turn triangle track compared to the more common four-turn speedway. It takes some drivers longer than others to adjust to the significant change. Denny Hamlin, however, mastered it from the start, winning his first two career races at Pocono Raceway in 2006, and he’s won seven of his 35 career starts at Pocono Raceway entering the 2025 Great American Getaway 400.
The Great American Getaway 400 begins at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday with Hamlin as the +500 favorite. He’s followed by Ryan Blaney (+700), Kyle Larson (+750) and William Byron (+750) in the latest 2025 Great American Getaway 400 odds. Before entering any 2025 The Great American Getaway 400 picks, NASCAR DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, or locking in NASCAR props on sites like PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, be sure to see the latest 2025 NASCAR at Pocono predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began its 2025 season by calling Chase Elliott to win for a +300 payout at the Clash at Bowman Gray and was also high on Byron as a +2000 longshot at Daytona. Then it predicted Kyle Larson’s win in Miami for a +350 payout, Christopher Bell’s +600 triumph in the NASCAR All-Star Race, Denny Hamlin’s +650 victory in Michigan and Shane van Gisbergen’s +330 victory in Mexico. In 2024, it nailed Larson to win in Las Vegas for a 21-5 sports betting payout and predicted Denny Hamlin’s wins in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4.
It also impressively nailed five of Larson’s wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 23 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on betting apps and sportsbooks on those NASCAR picks could have seen huge returns. New users also have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest Bet365 promo code, Caesars Sportsbook promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Now, the model simulated the 2025 Great American Getaway 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard.
Top 2025 The Great American Getaway 400 predictions
For Sunday’s 2025 The Great American Getaway 400, the model is high on Ty Gibbs, even though he’s a +2000 longshot in the latest 2025 NASCAR at Pocono odds from BetMGM. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday and first-time users can also get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if their first bet loses with this BetMGM promo code.
Gibbs finished third at the FireKeepers Casino 400 on June 8 for his second top-three result this year. The 22-year-old is still seeking his first career NASCAR Cup Series victory, but he’s improved his finishing position in the final standings in each of his three years on the NASCAR Cup Series circuit, including finishing 15th last year. Gibbs won the pole at last year’s Great American Getaway 400 and led 21 laps before engine failure caused a 27th-place result. But he showcased his speed and ability to maneuver “The Tricky Triangle” last year in just his third race at Pocono Raceway. He finished fifth the year before while leading seven laps, and with Gibbs still seeking his first victory of the year to secure a spot in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs, he could feel comfortable enough to take some high-risk, high-reward chances at Pocono Raceway.
The model has also revealed a shocking NASCAR prop for Sunday: Christopher Bell finishes top five for a +135 payout. He’s a potentially a strong value pick for your Pocono NASCAR prop bets and you can potentially add even more value with the latest FanDuel promo code.
After a second-place finish in Mexico City last weekend, Bell has three runner-up finishes to go with his three victories and he’s one of only three drivers to reach that landmark so far in 2025. He’s third in the 2025 NASCAR standings entering this week and Toyota have been the dominant force recently at Pocono. They’ve won eight of the last 12 NASCAR Cup Series races at “The Tricky Triangle” and Bell is also getting more and more comfortable on the 2.5-mile tri-oval. He’s finished fourth, sixth and 12th over the last three races at Pocono and has three top-six finishes there now in his career. See which other drivers to avoid and the rest of the projected NASCAR leaderboard at SportsLine.
How to make 2025 NASCAR at Pocono picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with Pocono NASCAR odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and projected leaderboard over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2025 Great American Getaway 400, and which longshots are must-backs? Check out the latest 2025 NASCAR at Pocono odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full NASCAR Pocono projected leaderboard, all from the model that has nailed 23 winners, and find out.
2025 NASCAR Pocono odds, drivers, lineup
See the full NASCAR at Pocono picks at SportsLine
Denny Hamlin +500
Ryan Blaney +700
Kyle Larson +750
William Byron +750
Christopher Bell +1000
Tyler Reddick +1200
Chase Elliott +1500
Joey Logano +1800
Ty Gibbs +1900
Chris Buescher +2100
Brad Keselowski +2100
Ross Chastain +2400
Carson Hocevar +2500
Chase Briscoe +2800
Kyle Busch +2900
Bubba Wallace +3100
Alex Bowman +3400
Josh Berry +4200
Ryan Preece +5000
Austin Cindric +5000
Erik Jones +5000
Ricky Stenhouse +5500
Daniel Suarez +6000
AJ Allmendinger +10000
Zane Smith +10000
Michael McDowell +10000
Shane van Gisbergen +14000
Noah Gragson +14000
John Hunter Nemechek +21000
Austin Dillon +21000
Todd Gilliland +21000
Justin Haley +21000
Cole Custer +21000
Riley Herbst +25000
Ty Dillon +34000
Brennan Poole +50000
Cody Ware +50000
