Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr Fight: Odds, Predictions, Picks


Saturday’s boxing match between Jake Paul and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. is nearly upon us. The two meet in the main event of a boxing card co-promoted by Paul’s MVP and Oscar De La Hoya’s Golden Boy. The Paul vs. Chavez fight is scheduled for 10 rounds at a weight limit of 200 pounds. Jake Paul returns to the boxing ring for his first fight since his November 2024 unanimous decision win over Mike Tyson. As for Chavez, Saturday marks the former WBC middleweight champ’s first bout since his July 2024 decision win over former UFC fighter Uriah Hall. We look at the Paul vs. Chavez fight betting odds, picks, and predictions.

The Paul vs. Chavez boxing card takes place on Saturday, June 28, at Honda Center in Anaheim, California. The main card streams on DAZN pay-per-view.

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Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr Betting Odds And Line Movement

The opening betting odds for this fight saw Paul as the -1100 favorite over the +590 Chavez. Today, BetOnline has Paul as the -600 favorite over the +390 Chavez.

Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Fight Preview

JJake Paul (11-1 with seven knockouts) found a niche for himself fairly quickly as a pro boxer. That niche was targeting MMA fighters with name recognition who were undersized or had undeveloped boxing skills. Paul’s wins over Ben Askren, Tyron Woodley, and Anderson Silva got the YouTuber-turned-boxer a lot of attention.

In 2023, Paul stepped up in competition, skill, and size to face Tommy Fury. The result of that fight was Paul’s first and only pro loss, dropping a split decision to Fury.

Paul followed that loss by getting back in the ring with a former UFC fighter in Nate Diaz. Paul won that bout by split decision.

Since beating Diaz, Paul is 4-0 with wins over Andre August, Ryan Bourland, Mike Perry, and most recently, Mike Tyson.

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (54-6-1 with 24 KOs) has had a hard time shaking the visual of his 2019 loss to Daniel Jacobs, a fight where he came in overweight and quit in the fifth round. Chavez’s action on that night left the crowd at Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix, Arizona, showering the ring with debris.

Chavez is 3-2 since that loss, but he says he will be a different fighter against Paul.

“Now I’m disciplined, I’m focused, I want to finish the fight with Paul with a win and take this opportunity to be back in real boxing. That’s my goal.”

Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Tale Of The Tape

Jake Paul

Record: 11-1 with seven knockouts

Age: 28

Height: 6’1″

Reach: 76″

Stance: Southpaw

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.

Record: 54-6-1 with 34 knockouts

Age: 39

Height: 6’0″

Reach: 73″

Stance: Orthodox

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Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Breakdown

Jake Paul is very selective when it comes to his opponents. Over the past few years he’s carefully picked competition who have name recognition and who can draw eyeballs to his fights. That approach has largely paid off for Paul as he only has one loss on his record.

Paul is not cosplaying as a boxer. He has skills and from all appearances he trains hard and takes the sport seriously. He deserves respect and notice for that. However, he’s not facing the cream of the crop when it comes to his career, and that’s by (smart) choice.

Chavez is the most skilled fighter Paul has faced, outside of Tyson, but like Tyson, who was 58 when he faced Paul, there are questions about how effective a 39-year-old Chavez can be in 2025. After all, he has only fought once since 2021 and that was against a fomer UFC fighter in Uriah Hall.

Even when he was in his prime there were questions about how dedicated Chavez was to the craft of boxing and how hard he trained. Chavez is saying all the right things heading into this contest, but then again, this is a man with a 2021 loss to an aging Anderson Silva on his record, a man Paul defeated by unanimous decision.

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Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Predictions And Picks

If Chavez comes into this fight at 100 percent and is ready to compete, he has the skills to beat Paul. So, that’s the question. Is Chavez going to slip the ropes at the Honda Center on Saturday night at 100 percent? Paul is betting against that. Should you do the same?

I don’t think so.

Expect Paul to respect Chavez’s skills in this fight if he shows those attributes early. If Chavez looks as if he isn’t taking Paul seriously, look for Paul to be aggressive and make Chavez pay for that disrespect.

A dialed-in Chavez has the tools to beat a younger and more athletic Paul, but we haven’t seen that version of Chavez in a long while. With that, look for Paul to grind his way to a decision.

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Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Fight Card Date:

Saturday, June 28, 2025

Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Fight Card Time:

8:00 p.m. ET

Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Fight Card Location:

Honda Center in Anaheim, California

Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Fight Card How to Watch Or Stream:

DAZN PPV

Jake Paul Vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Fight Card Streaming Cost:

$59.99

With Berlanga vs. Sheerz PPV on July 12: $94.99

With Usyk vs. Dubois II PPV on July 19: $94.99

Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Main Event

200 lbs.: Jake Paul (11-1) vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (54-6-1) x 10

Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. PPV Undercard

200 lbs.: Gilberto “Zurdo” Ramirez (47-1) vs. Yuniel Dorticos (27-2) Unified Cruiserweight Championship (WBO & WBA titles) x 12
132 lbs.: Holly Holm (33-2-3) vs. Yolanda Vega (10-0) x 10
135 lbs.: Floyd “Kid Austin” Schofield (18-0, 12) vs. Tevin Farmer (33-8-1) x 10
147 lbs.: Avious Griffin (17-0) vs. Julian Rodriguez (23-1) x 10
147 lbs.: Raul Curiel (15-0-1) vs. Victor Ezequiel Rodriguez (16-0-1) x 10

Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Preliminary Undercard

115 lbs.: John Ramirez (14-1) vs. TBD x10
126 lbs.: Victor Morales (20-0-1) vs. Renee Alvarado (34-16) x10
118 lbs.: Alexander Gueche (7-0, 5) vs Vincent Avina (8-1-1) x10
147 lbs.: Joel Iriarte (7-0) vs. Yusuph Metu (11-2) x10
108 lbs.: Naomy Valle (14-0) vs. Ashley Felix (7-3) x 10

We will have more on the Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. fight and the upcoming fight card as fight night nears.



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